{"id":12954,"date":"2022-07-01T12:19:40","date_gmt":"2022-07-01T09:19:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=12954"},"modified":"2023-02-01T23:16:09","modified_gmt":"2023-02-01T21:16:09","slug":"klasyfikaczijni-metody-prognozuvannya-vrozhajnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=12954","title":{"rendered":"\u041a\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0438\u0444\u0456\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0456 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\u041a\u041b\u0410\u0421\u0418\u0424\u0406\u041a\u0410\u0426\u0406\u0419\u041d\u0406 \u041c\u0415\u0422\u041e\u0414\u0418 \u041f\u0420\u041e\u0413\u041d\u041e\u0417\u0423\u0412\u0410\u041d\u041d\u042f \u0412\u0420\u041e\u0416\u0410\u0419\u041d\u041e\u0421\u0422\u0406<\/p>\n

CLASSIFICATION METHODS OF THE YIELD FORECASTING<\/p>\n

\u0421\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u043d\u043a\u0438:\u00a0<\/strong>209<\/strong>–<\/strong>216<\/strong>. \u041d\u043e\u043c\u0435\u0440: \u21163, 2022 (309)<\/strong> \"\"<\/a>
\n\u0410\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438:<\/strong>
\n\u0413\u0420\u0418\u0426\u042e\u041a \u041f. \u041c.
\n\u041d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0456\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0432\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u043c. \u0420\u0456\u0432\u043d\u0435
\nhttps:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3683-4766<\/a>
\ne-mail: p.m.hrytsiuk@nuwm.edu.ua<\/a>
\n\u0411\u0410\u0411\u0418\u0427 \u0422. \u042e.
\n\u041d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0456\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0432\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u043c. \u0420\u0456\u0432\u043d\u0435
\nhttps:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6927-7313<\/a>
\ne-mail: t.iu.babych@nuwm.edu.ua<\/a>
\n\u041a\u0420\u0410\u0421\u042c\u041a\u041e \u0411. \u0412.
\n\u041d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0456\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0432\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u043c. \u0420\u0456\u0432\u043d\u0435
\ne-mail: krasko_ak21@nuwm.edu.ua<\/a>
\nPetro Hrytsiuk, Tetiana Babych, Bohdan Krasko
\nThe National University of Water and Environmental Engineering, Rivne
\nDOI:<\/strong>\u00a0https:\/\/www.doi.org\/10.31891\/2307-5732-2022-309-3-209-210<\/a><\/p>\n

\u0410\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u043c\u043e\u0432\u043e\u044e \u043e\u0440\u0438\u0433\u0456\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0410\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0437 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0456 \u0437\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0456 20 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0456\u0432 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0443\u0454, \u0449\u043e \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0443 \u0432\u0441\u0456\u0445 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044f\u0445 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438 \u0437\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0454. \u0426\u0435 \u0454 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u043e\u043c \u0437\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0456\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0431\u043b\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0433\u0430\u043b\u0443\u0437\u0456 \u0437\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0442\u0430 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0456\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0456\u0439, \u044f\u043a\u0456 \u043d\u0430\u0434\u0456\u0439\u0448\u043b\u0438 \u0443 \u0433\u0430\u043b\u0443\u0437\u044c. \u041e\u0434\u043d\u0430\u043a, \u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0434\u043e \u0437\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0441\u0443\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0436\u0443\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c\u0438 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456, \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0447\u0438\u043d\u043e\u044e \u044f\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u0434\u0435\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0454 \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e-\u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0456 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438. \u041d\u0430\u0439\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u0456\u0442\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0454 \u0432\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432 \u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u0432 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0435\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0445 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0456\u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438. \u0412 \u0440\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0456 \u0437\u0430\u043f\u0440\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043e \u043a\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0438\u0444\u0456\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0445\u0456\u0434 \u0434\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0456 \u0437 \u0432\u0440\u0430\u0445\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e-\u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u0432 \u0442\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0456\u0432 \u043c\u0430\u0448\u0438\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0447\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f. \u0414\u043b\u044f \u043f\u043e\u0431\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u2019\u044e\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u0431\u0443\u043b\u043e \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0431\u0456\u0440 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0456 \u0443 \u0447\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0440\u044c\u043e\u0445 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044f\u0445 \u0441\u0442\u0435\u043f\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0457 \u0437\u043e\u043d\u0438 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438 \u0437\u0430 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0456\u043e\u0434 2000 \u2013 2021 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0434\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f 12 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0435\u043e\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u0432. \u0427\u0438\u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0431\u0443\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0432\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0456 \u0443 \u0431\u0456\u043d\u0430\u0440\u043d\u0443 \u0437\u043c\u0456\u043d\u043d\u0443, \u044f\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0454\u0435 \u043b\u0438\u0448\u0435 \u0434\u0432\u043e\u0445 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c: \u00ab0\u00bb (\u043d\u0438\u0437\u044c\u043a\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c) \u0447\u0438 \u00ab1\u00bb (\u0432\u0438\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c). \u0414\u043b\u044f \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0431\u0456\u043d\u0430\u0440\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e probit- \u0442\u0430 logit-\u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0456, \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0443\u044e\u0447\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u044f\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0443\u0442\u044c \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u044f\u043a \u0456\u043c\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0440\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0432\u0438\u0449\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044e \u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f. \u0422\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c \u043f\u043e\u0431\u0443\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0432\u0438\u0449\u0443\u0454 80%.
\n\u041a\u043b\u044e\u0432\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430:<\/strong> \u0456\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0456\u0457, \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c.<\/p>\n

\u0420\u043e\u0437\u0448\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0430\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0430\u043d\u0433\u043b\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u044e \u00a0\u043c\u043e\u0432\u043e\u044e<\/strong><\/p>\n

Analysis of wheat yields over the past 20 years shows that wheat\u00a0 yield are growing in all regions of Ukraine. This is a result of the growing investment attractiveness of the grain industry and the significant investments made in the industry. However, the upward trend is accompanied by significant fluctuations in wheat yields, which are mostly caused by weather and climatic factors. The most noticeable is the climatic factors influence for the steppe regions of Ukraine. The paper proposes a classification approach to forecasting wheat yield taking into account weather and climatic factors and the use of machine learning methods. A set of wheat yield data in four regions of the steppe zone of Ukraine for the period 2000-2021 and the corresponding values of 12 meteorological factors were used to build computer models. Cross-validation with division into 10 groups was used to build and test of models. Numerical values of wheat yield were converted into a binary variable, which acquires only two values: “0” (low yield) or “1” (high yield). If the value of wheat yield exceeding over the trend value is greater than the specified threshold value, the new value of binary variable is 1, otherwise the binary variable value is 0.
\nTwo models are constructed to classify the excess of yield over the trend value, which are based on the regression logit and regression probit. The obtained model values can be interpreted as the probability of a significant excess of yield over the trend value. Both models provide high quality classification with a slight advantage of the logit model. The aggregate classification quality of both models exceeds 88%, which is a good result for such a complex task as modeling the dependence of yield on meteorological factors in a small sample.
\nKeywords:<\/strong> investing, model<\/p>\n

\u041b\u0456\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0430<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \u0413\u0440\u0438\u0446\u044e\u043a \u041f.\u041c., \u0411\u0430\u0447\u0438\u0448\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u041b.\u0414. \u0412\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432 \u0437\u043c\u0456\u043d\u0438 \u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0443\u043c\u043e\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0456\u043a\u0443 \u0432\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0437\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0445 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456 \/\/ \u0415\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u043a\u0430 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438. \u2013 2016, \u2116 6 (655), \u0441.68 \u2013 75<\/li>\n
  2. Lee and M. J. Connaughton. Effects of Weather on Wheat Yields. – Irish Journal of Agricultural Research. – Vol. 8, No. 3, Dec., 1969. pp. 349-357.<\/li>\n
  3. \u0414\u0430\u043d\u0456\u0435\u043b\u044c \u041c\u044e\u043b\u043b\u0435\u0440, \u0410\u043d\u043d\u0435 \u042e\u043d\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0440\u0435\u0430\u0441, \u0424\u0440\u0456\u0434\u0440\u0456\u0445 \u041a\u043e\u0445 \u0442\u0430 \u0456\u043d. \u0412\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432 \u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u043c\u0456\u043d \u043d\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0442\u0432\u043e \u043f\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0456 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456. \u041d\u0456\u043c\u0435\u0446\u044c\u043a\u043e-\u0443\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0430\u0433\u0440\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u043b\u0456\u0430\u043b\u043e\u0433. \u2013 \u041a\u0438\u0457\u0432, 2016. \u2013 45\u0441.<\/li>\n
  4. \u041a\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0430\u0441\u044e\u043a \u042e.\u0412. \u0410\u0434\u0430\u043f\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0434\u043e \u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u043c\u0456\u043d: \u0435\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u043a\u0430 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0432\u0443. \u2013 \u0415\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0430\u0440. 03.06.2020. http:\/\/agro-business.com.ua\/agro\/ekonomichnyi-hektar\/item\/17754-adaptatsiia-do-klimatychnykh-zmin-ekonomika-tekhnolohii-polyvu.html<\/li>\n
  5. \u041e.\u041e. \u041a\u0440\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0448\u0435\u0457\u043d, \u041b.\u041f. \u041e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u043b\u0454\u0442\u043e\u043a, \u041b.\u041f. \u0414\u0437\u044e\u0431\u0430. \u041e\u0446\u0456\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u0432\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0443\u043c\u043e\u0432 \u0442\u0430 \u043e\u0440\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0456\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u043e-\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0456\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0439\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c \u043e\u0437\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0446\u0456 \u0437\u0430 \u0457\u0457 \u043a\u043b\u0456\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043c \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0456\u0430\u043b\u043e\u043c. \u2013 \u041d\u0430\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u043f\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0456 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u041d\u0414\u0413\u041c\u0406, 2016, \u0412\u0438\u043f. 269. \u2013 \u0441.151-158<\/li>\n
  6. \u041a\u043e\u0431\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043a\u043e \u042e.\u0424., \u041a\u043e\u0431\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043a\u043e \u041e.\u042e., \u0420\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043a\u043e \u0412.\u0410. \u0412\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432 \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u044e \u0437\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0445 \u043a\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0443\u0440 \u0443 \u0425\u0430\u0440\u043a\u0456\u0432\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0456\u0439 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0456. \u2013 \u0412\u0456\u0441\u043d\u0438\u043a \u0425\u0430\u0440\u043a\u0456\u0432\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0443\u043d\u0456\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0443. \u2013 2014, \u21161098. \u2013 \u0441.86-91<\/li>\n
  7. Kurt Heil, Anna Lehner and Urs Schmidhalter. Influence of Climate Conditions on the Temporal Development of Wheat Yields in a Long-Term Experiment in an Area with Pleistocene Loess. – Climate 2020, 8, 100, 17p. mdpi.com\/journal\/climate<\/li>\n
  8. Beillouin D, Schauberger B,Bastos A, Ciais P, Makowski D. 2020 Impact of extreme weather conditions on European crop production in 2018. – Phil. R. Soc. B 375. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1098\/rstb.2019.0510<\/li>\n
  9. Konduri V., Vandal T., Ganguly S., Ganguly A. Data science for weather impacts on crop yield. Sustain. Food Syst., Vol. 4, May 2020<\/li>\n
  10. \u0414\u0435\u0440\u0436\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0430 \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0436\u0431\u0430 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438. http:\/\/www.ukrstat.gov.ua\/<\/li>\n
  11. \u041a\u043b\u0435\u0431\u0430\u043d \u042e.\u0412. \u0414\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0456\u0434\u0436\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0441\u043f\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0431\u0456\u0432 \u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0457 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0432 \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0432\u0438\u0449\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0435\u0444\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043a\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0433\u0443. \u041d\u0435\u0439\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0435\u0447\u0456\u0442\u043a\u0456 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0457 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432 \u0435\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u0446\u0456. \u041d\u0430\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e-\u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b. \u041a\u0438\u0457\u0432, 2019. \u21168. \u0421.94-123.<\/li>\n
  12. Fawcett, Tom. An Introduction to ROC Analysis. Pattern Recognition Letters. 27 (8) (2011). P. 861\u2013874<\/li>\n
  13. \u041a\u043b\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043c\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0442\u043e\u0440 http:\/\/www.pogodaiklimat.ru\/<\/li>\n
  14. Berrar, D. Cross-Validation. Encycl. Bioinform. Comput. Biol. 2019, 1, 542\u2013545. URL: https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/324701535_Cross-Validation<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    References<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Hrytsiuk P.M., Bachyshyna L.D. Vplyv zminy klimatychnyh umov na dynamiku vrozhaynosty zernovyh v Ukraini \/\/ Economicka Ukrainy. – 2016, \u2116 6 (655), p.68 \u2013 75<\/li>\n
    2. Lee and M. J. Connaughton. Effects of Weather on Wheat Yields. – Irish Journal of Agricultural Research. – Vol. 8, No. 3, Dec., 1969. pp. 349-357.<\/li>\n
    3. Daniel Muller, Anne Yunhandreas, Fridrih Koch et al. Vplyv klimatychnyh zmin na vyrobnyctvo pshenyci v Ukraini. Nimecko-ukrainsky ahropolitychny dialoh. \u2013 Kyiv, 2016. \u2013 45p.<\/li>\n
    4. Kernasiuk Yu.V. Adaptaciya do klimatychnyh zmin: economika tehnolohiy polyvu. \u2013 Ekonomichny hektar. 03.06.2020. http:\/\/agro-business.com.ua\/agro\/ekonomichnyi-hektar\/item\/17754-adaptatsiia-do-klimatychnykh-zmin-ekonomika-tekhnolohii-polyvu.html<\/li>\n
    5. O. Kryvoshein, L.P. Odnoletok, L.P. Dzyuba. Ocinka vplyvu pohodnyh umov ta orhanizaciyno-tehnolohichnyh zahodiv na urozhaynist ozymoi pshenyci za ii klimatychnym potencialom. \u2013 Naukovi praci UkrNDHMI, 2016, Vyp. 269. \u2013 \u0441.151-158.<\/li>\n
    6. Kobchenko Yu.F., Kobchenko O.Yu., Rezunenko V.A. Vplyv pohodnyh factoriv na formuvannia urozhayu zernovyh kultur u Harkivskiy oblasti. \u2013 Visnyk Harkivskoho nacionalnoho universytetu. \u2013 2014, \u21161098. \u2013 p.86-91<\/li>\n
    7. Kurt Heil, Anna Lehner and Urs Schmidhalter. Influence of Climate Conditions on the Temporal Development of Wheat Yields in a Long-Term Experiment in an Area with Pleistocene Loess. – Climate 2020, 8, 100, 17p. www.mdpi.com\/journal\/climate<\/li>\n
    8. Beillouin D, Schauberger B,Bastos A, Ciais P, Makowski D. 2020 Impact of extreme weather conditions on European crop production in 2018. – Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 375. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1098\/rstb.2019.0510<\/li>\n
    9. Konduri V., Vandal T., Ganguly S., Ganguly A. Data science for weather impacts on crop yield. Front. Sustain. Food Syst., Vol. 4, May 2020<\/li>\n
    10. Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy. http:\/\/www.ukrstat.gov.ua\/<\/li>\n
    11. Kleban Yu.V. Doslidzhennia sposobiv transformacii danyh v kontexti pidvyshchennia efektyvnosti modeley kredytnoho skorynhu. Neyronechitki tehnolohii modeluvannia v ekonomici. Naukovo-analitychny zhurnal. Kyiv, 2019. \u21168. p.94-123.<\/li>\n
    12. Fawcett, Tom. An Introduction to ROC Analysis. Pattern Recognition Letters. 27 (8) (2011). P. 861\u2013874<\/li>\n
    13. Klimaticheskiy monitor http:\/\/www.pogodaiklimat.ru\/<\/li>\n
    14. Berrar, D. Cross-Validation. Encycl. Bioinform. Comput. Biol. 2019, 1, 542\u2013545. URL: https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/324701535_Cross-Validation<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[66],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12954"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12954"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15742,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12954\/revisions\/15742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}