{"id":13445,"date":"2021-03-12T07:46:44","date_gmt":"2021-03-12T05:46:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=13445"},"modified":"2022-08-22T08:44:46","modified_gmt":"2022-08-22T05:44:46","slug":"forsajt-prognozuvannya-perspektyv-tehnologichnogo-reinzhyniryngu-pidpryyemstva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=13445","title":{"rendered":"\u0424\u043e\u0440\u0441\u0430\u0439\u0442 &#8211; \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0441\u043f\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432  \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u0435\u0456\u043d\u0436\u0438\u043d\u0456\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0433\u0443 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0454\u043c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u0424\u041e\u0420\u0421\u0410\u0419\u0422 &#8211; \u041f\u0420\u041e\u0413\u041d\u041e\u0417\u0423\u0412\u0410\u041d\u041d\u042f \u041f\u0415\u0420\u0421\u041f\u0415\u041a\u0422\u0418\u0412\u00a0 \u0422\u0415\u0425\u041d\u041e\u041b\u041e\u0413\u0406\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0420\u0415\u0406\u041d\u0416\u0418\u041d\u0406\u0420\u0418\u041d\u0413\u0423 \u041f\u0406\u0414\u041f\u0420\u0418\u0404\u041c\u0421\u0422\u0412\u0410<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">FORESIGHT &#8211; FORECASTING PROSPECTS OF TECHNOLOGICAL RE-ENGINEERING OF THE ENTERPRISE<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/2021-en-52-39.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-69 alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/pdf.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"76\" height=\"32\" \/><\/a> \u0421\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u043d\u043a\u0438: 238-242 \u041d\u043e\u043c\u0435\u0440: \u2116<\/strong><strong>5, <\/strong><strong>\u0422\u043e\u043c 2, 202<\/strong><strong>1 (2<\/strong><strong>98)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0410\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u041f\u043e\u043f\u043e\u0432 \u041e. \u0412.<br \/>\n\u0410\u043a\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0435 \u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u00ab\u0424\u0415\u0414\u00bb (\u043c. \u0425\u0430\u0440\u043a\u0456\u0432, \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0430)<\/p>\n<p>Alexander POPOV<br \/>\nJoint Stock Company \u00abFED\u00bb (Kharkiv, Ukraine)<\/p>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size: 1rem;\">DOI<\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 1rem;\">:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 1rem;\">\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.doi.org\/10.31891\/2307-5740-2021-298-5(2)-40\">https:\/\/www.doi.org\/10.31891\/2307-5740-2021-298-5(2)-40<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u041d\u0430\u0434\u0456\u0439\u0448\u043b\u0430 \/ Paper received :<\/strong> 17.08.2021<br \/>\n<strong>\u041d\u0430\u0434\u0440\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0430 \/ Paper Printed :<\/strong> 04.10.2021<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u0410\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u043c\u043e\u0432\u043e\u044e \u043e\u0440\u0438\u0433\u0456\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u0420\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0432\u044f\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u0432\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044e \u0441\u0443\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456, \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043c\u0456\u043d\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0446\u0438\u043f\u0456\u0432 \u0456 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0444\u043e\u0440\u0441\u0430\u0439\u0442\u0430 \u044f\u043a \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0441\u043f\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e 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\u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c, \u043b\u0456\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0437\u0456\u044f, \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0440\u0435\u0456\u043d\u0436\u0438\u043d\u0456\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0433, \u043d\u0435\u0432\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044c.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u0420\u043e\u0437\u0448\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0430\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0430\u043d\u0433\u043b\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u044e \u043c\u043e\u0432\u043e\u044e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0The work is devoted to the study of the essence, distinctive principles and methods of foresight as a method of forecasting the prospects of technological reengineering of domestic enterprises, which involves increasing the effectiveness of state regulation of the main parameters of socio-economic development and is based on a set of developed economic forecasts of reengineering transformations. It is substantiated that the foresight is the optimal tool for qualitative planning of the country&#8217;s economy at the current stage, as a relatively new management technology that is used at the macro and micro level to actively design the future state of small, medium and large socio-economic systems. It has been established that foresight can be considered as a tool for managing strategic competitiveness at the micro level, which is based on the prediction of future changes and the formation of such qualitative characteristics of the functioning of the entrepreneurial structure that allow it to be capable of producing innovations. It has been determined that the difference between future development research and foresight is that not all methods of future analysis are included in the foresight toolkit. The study focuses on a strategic approach to the introduction of innovative technologies in the conditions of a country that does not have a full-fledged national innovation system. It has been proven that such an option is the purchase of licenses for technologies necessary for carrying out reengineering and innovative transformations of production. Features of license evaluation practice are described. The display of the process of preliminary forecasting of the results of the technological rehabilitation of the enterprise on the basis of reengineering with the application of the purchased license is presented in a model form.<\/p>\n<p>Key words: foresight, forecasting, model, license, technological reengineering, uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>References<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Yevropejs&#8217;ka Komisiia. <em>Spryiannia zahal&#8217;noievropejs&#8217;komu forsajtu: pidkhody<\/em> [European Commission. Promoting pan-European foresight: approaches]. European Commission Research and Innovation website. Available at: http:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/research\/social-sciences\/fwl-platform3_en.html.<\/li>\n<li>Bland, Jessica, Stian, Westlake. (2013). Don&#8217;t Stop Thinking About Tomorrow: A Modest Defence of Futurology. NESTA. UK.<\/li>\n<li>Berkhout, Frans, Julia, Hertin. (2002). \u00abForesight futures scenarios: Developing and applying a participative strategic planning tool\u00bb. <em>Greener Management International<\/em>. Spring. pp. 37-52.<\/li>\n<li>Fuerth, Leon S. (2009). Foresight and anticipatory governance. <em>Foresight 11.<\/em> no. 4 pp. 14-32. Available at: http:\/\/www.altfutures.com\/pubs\/propoor\/Anticipatory_Governance.pdf.<\/li>\n<li>Merriam-Webster Dictionary. Available at: https:\/\/www.merriam-webster.com\/dictionary\/foresight.<\/li>\n<li>Allan Dal&#8217;, Andersen, Per <em>Dannemand<\/em><em>,<\/em><em> Andersen<\/em><em>. (2012).<\/em><em> Ynnovatsyonnye systemy forsajta: tolkovanye y systematyzyrovanye fondov ynnovatsyonnykh system forsajta y yssledovanyia eho znachenyia.<\/em> [Innovative systems of foresight: interpretation and systematization of funds of innovative systems of foresight and research on its meaning]. Tekhnycheskyj unyversytet Danyy. Denmark.<\/li>\n<li>Nyiri, Lajos. (2003). Foresight as a policy-making tool. Technology Foresight for Organizers. Center for Strategic Studies and Management. Brazil.<\/li>\n<li>Foresight: Den Zuk\u00fcnften auf der Spur. Available at: https:\/\/futurezone.at\/science\/foresight-denzukuenften-auf-derspur\/24.590.988.<\/li>\n<li>Foresight and Technology Assessment: Monitoring of future themes for the Austrian Parliament. Available at: https:\/\/www.parlament.gv.at\/SERV\/FTA\/.<\/li>\n<li>Christofilopoulos Epaminondas, Mantzanakis Stavros China-2025: Research and Innovation Landscape. (2016). <em>Foresight and STI governance<\/em>. vol. 10. issue 3. pp.\u00a0\u00a07-16.<\/li>\n<li>Allen, C., Metternicht, G., Wiedmann, T. (2018). \u00abInitial progress in implementing the sustainable development goals (SGDs)\u00bb. A review of evidence from countries. <em>Sustainability Science<\/em><em>.<\/em> no. 13. pp. 1453-1467.<\/li>\n<li>Allen C., Metternicht G., Wiedmann T. (2016). \u00abNational pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A comparative review of scenario modelling tools\u00bb. <em>Environmental Science &amp; Policy<\/em>. no. 66. P. 199-207.<\/li>\n<li><em>Forsajt v Ukraini u 2019-2020 rr.: bachennia ekspertiv schodo priorytetnykh napriamiv nauky i tekhnolohij v Ukraini dlia realizatsii Tsilej staloho rozvytku<\/em>. (2020). [Foresight in Ukraine in 2019-2020: the vision of experts regarding the priority areas of science and technology in Ukraine for the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals]. Pysarenko, T.V., Kvasha, T.K., Paladchenko, O.F., Rozhkova,L.V. at al. UkrINTEI. Kyiv. Ukraine.<\/li>\n<li>Chan, Leah. (2014). Foresight as a Strategic Long-Term Planning Tool for Developing Countries. UNDP Global Centre for Public Service Excellence.<\/li>\n<li>\u0420\u0438\u043d\u043e\u043a \u043b\u0456\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0437\u0456\u0439 \u0456 \u043f\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0456\u0432. URL: <a href=\"http:\/\/epi.cc.ua\/6221-ryinok-litsenziy-21978.html\">http:\/\/epi.cc.ua\/6221-ryinok-litsenziy-21978.html<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[56],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13445"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13445"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13445\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13446,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13445\/revisions\/13446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13445"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13445"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}