{"id":7322,"date":"2021-04-19T09:41:48","date_gmt":"2021-04-19T06:41:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=7322"},"modified":"2021-08-05T15:09:17","modified_gmt":"2021-08-05T12:09:17","slug":"%d0%b0%d0%b4%d0%b0%d0%bf%d1%82%d0%b8%d0%b2%d0%bd%d0%b0-%d0%bc%d0%be%d0%b4%d0%b5%d0%bb%d1%8c-%d0%bf%d1%80%d0%be%d0%b3%d0%bd%d0%be%d0%b7%d1%83%d0%b2%d0%b0%d0%bd%d0%bd%d1%8f-%d0%bf%d0%b0%d1%80%d0%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/journals.khnu.km.ua\/vestnik\/?p=7322","title":{"rendered":"\u0410\u0434\u0430\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0440\u0456\u0432 \u0440\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c\u0443 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436 \u0437 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043e\u044e \u0433\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0454\u044e \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043e\u0431\u0491\u0440\u0443\u043d\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0443\u043c\u043e\u0432 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u043e \u043a\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0430\u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0456\u0432"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\u0410\u0414\u0410\u041f\u0422\u0418\u0412\u041d\u0410 \u041c\u041e\u0414\u0415\u041b\u042c \u041f\u0420\u041e\u0413\u041d\u041e\u0417\u0423\u0412\u0410\u041d\u041d\u042f \u041f\u0410\u0420\u0410\u041c\u0415\u0422\u0420\u0406\u0412 \u0420\u0415\u0416\u0418\u041c\u0423 \u0420\u041e\u0417\u041f\u041e\u0414\u0406\u041b\u042c\u041d\u0418\u0425 \u041c\u0415\u0420\u0415\u0416 \u0417 \u0420\u041e\u0417\u041f\u041e\u0414\u0406\u041b\u0415\u041d\u041e\u042e \u0413\u0415\u041d\u0415\u0420\u0410\u0426\u0406\u0404\u042e \u0414\u041b\u042f \u041e\u0411\u0490\u0420\u0423\u041d\u0422\u0423\u0412\u0410\u041d\u041d\u042f \u0423\u041c\u041e\u0412 \u0412\u0418\u041a\u041e\u0420\u0418\u0421\u0422\u0410\u041d\u041d\u042f \u0414\u0418\u0421\u0422\u0410\u041d\u0426\u0406\u0419\u041d\u041e \u041a\u0415\u0420\u041e\u0412\u0410\u041d\u0418\u0425 \u041a\u041e\u041c\u0423\u0422\u0410\u0426\u0406\u0419\u041d\u0418\u0425 \u0410\u041f\u0410\u0420\u0410\u0422\u0406\u0412<\/p>\n

AN ADAPTIVE MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE PARAMETERS OF A DISTRIBUTION NETWORK WITH DISTRIBUTED GENERATION FOR JUSTIFICATION OF THE CONDITIONS OF USE REMOTELY CONTROLLED SWITCHING DEVICES<\/p>\n

\u0421\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0456\u043d\u043a\u0438: 135-144. \u041d\u043e\u043c\u0435\u0440: \u21161, 2021 (293)<\/strong> \"\"<\/a>
\n\u0410\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438:<\/strong>
\n\u0412. \u0410. \u041f\u041e\u041f\u041e\u0412, \u0414.\u0412. \u042f\u0426\u0415\u041d\u041a\u041e, \u041e.\u0412. \u0410\u0414\u0410\u041d\u0406\u041a\u041e\u0412
\n\u041d\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0456\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438 “\u041a\u0438\u0457\u0432\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0456\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0442 \u0456\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0456 \u0406\u0433\u043e\u0440\u044f \u0421\u0456\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e”
\n\u0412.\u041e. \u041e\u041d\u0423\u0424\u0420\u0415\u0419
\n\u041c\u0456\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u0435\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438
\nV. A. POPOV, D.V. YATSENKO, O.V. ADANIKOV
\nNational Technical University of Ukraine \u201cIgor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute\u201d
\nV.O. ONUFREI
\nMinistry of Energy of Ukraine
\nDOI:<\/strong> https:\/\/www.doi.org\/10.31891\/2307-5732-2021-293-1-135-144<\/a>
\n\u0420\u0435\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0437\u0456\u044f\/Peer review :<\/strong> 12.02.2021 \u0440.
\n\u041d\u0430\u0434\u0440\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0430\/Printed :<\/strong> 10.03.2021 \u0440.<\/p>\n

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\n\u041a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043f\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0431\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0435 \u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0435 \u0437\u0430\u0431\u0435\u0437\u043f\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0456\u0432 \u043a\u0435\u0440\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0440\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043c\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043a\u0443 \u0440\u0430\u0446\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0456\u0457 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0446\u0456\u0454\u0457 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u0438 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0456\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u0430\u0441\u043e\u0431\u0456\u0432. \u0412\u0440\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0432\u0443\u044e\u0447\u0438, \u0449\u043e\u00a0 \u0443 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0431\u043b\u0438\u0436\u0447\u0456\u0439 \u0447\u0430\u0441 \u043d\u0435 \u0456\u0441\u043d\u0443\u0454 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043b\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0456\u0441\u0442\u044e \u043e\u0441\u043d\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0456 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0456 \u0434\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u043e \u043a\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0430\u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0430\u043c\u0438, \u0432\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0454 \u043f\u0438\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0457\u0445 \u043e\u043f\u0442\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043c\u0456\u0449\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0439 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f.\u00a0 \u0414\u043b\u044f \u0432\u0438\u0440\u0456\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043b\u0435\u043c\u0438, \u0432\u0440\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0432\u0443\u044e\u0447\u0438 \u043e\u0431\u043c\u0435\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0430\u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0456\u0432, \u0432 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043d\u0443\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0430\u0434\u0430\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0435\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0430\u0436\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0443\u0437\u043b\u0456\u0432 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0456\/\u0432\u0438\u0445\u0456\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0443\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043b\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u0436\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043b \u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u0456\u0457 (\u0412\u0414\u0415). \u0420\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0443\u0442\u044c \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044c, \u044f\u043a \u0432\u0438\u0445\u0456\u0434\u043d\u0456 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0456 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0432\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u0456\u043a\u043e-\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u0434\u043e\u0446\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0440\u0435\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0457 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043a\u0435\u0440\u0443\u044e\u0447\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432\u0456\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u0440\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0456.
\n\u041d\u0430 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0456 \u043e\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0456\u0432 \u0434\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0456\u0434\u0436\u0435\u043d\u044c \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u0430 \u0437\u0440\u043e\u0431\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0432\u0438\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043a, \u0449\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u043e\u0431\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0456\u0439 \u0430\u0434\u0430\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0456\u0439 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0456 \u043a\u043e\u0436\u0435\u043d \u0437 \u0437\u0430\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0456\u0432 \u043f\u0440\u0438 \u0432\u0438\u0440\u0456\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0447\u0456 \u043a\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0435\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0430\u0436\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f\/\u0432\u0438\u0445\u0456\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0443\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0441\u043e\u043d\u044f\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0430\u043d\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0443\u0454 \u0440\u0456\u0437\u043d\u0456 \u0440\u0456\u0432\u043d\u0456 \u043f\u043e\u0445\u0438\u0431\u043a\u0438 \u0432 \u0437\u0430\u043b\u0435\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u0432\u0456\u0434 \u0434\u043e\u0432\u0436\u0438\u043d\u0438 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0456\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0443. \u0414\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0437\u0431\u0435\u0440\u0456\u0433\u0430\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u044f\u043a \u0443 \u0434\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0432\u043e\u043c\u0443, \u0442\u0430\u043a \u0456 \u0443 \u0442\u0438\u0436\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u0456\u0437\u0456.
\n\u041a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430:<\/strong> \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0430 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436\u0430, \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0456\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0433\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f, \u0434\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u043e \u043a\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0456 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0456 \u0430\u043f\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0438, \u0440\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0435\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0436, \u0430\u0434\u0430\u043f\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044c \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f.<\/p>\n

\u0420\u043e\u0437\u0448\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0430\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0430\u043d\u0433\u043b\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u044e \u043c\u043e\u0432\u043e\u044e<\/strong><\/p>\n

When solving the problem of controlling the modes of distribution networks built on a loop scheme, as the main measure to minimize electricity losses was considered to determine the optimal place of disconnection depending on the season, namely for autumn-winter and spring-summer maximum loads. But the rapid and large-scale introduction of distributed generation sources in 6-10 kV electrical networks leads to frequent changes in the flow distribution in the network and, no doubt, necessitates the development of new principles for controlling their modes. The success of this measure directly depends on the appropriate level of network automation, especially given that most of the equipment of distribution networks has exhausted its physical resource.
\nThe concept of active distribution networks provides full information support, automation of control processes and the development of a rational strategy for the use of appropriate technical means for this purpose. Given that in the near future it is not possible to fully equip distribution networks with remotely controlled switching devices, there is a question of their optimal location and use. To solve this problem, given the limited switching resource of switching devices, the article proposes an adaptive model for predicting the electrical load of network nodes \/ output power of renewable energy sources (RES). The forecasting results will be used as initial data to determine the technical and economic feasibility of the implementation of appropriate control effects on the modes of the distribution network.
\nBased on the obtained research results, it can be concluded that the developed adaptive model of each of the methods involved in solving the problem of short-term prediction of electrical load \/ output power of solar panels shows different levels of error depending on the length of the time interval. This trend persists both daily and weekly.
\nKeywords:<\/strong> distribution network, distributed generation, remotely controlled switching devices, electric network modes, adaptive forecasting model.<\/p>\n

References<\/strong><\/p>\n

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